Submitted/In Review/In Revision
* Pearl, J., K. Anchukaitis, N. Pederson, and J. Donnelly. Submitted. Reconstructing Northeastern United States temperatures using Atlantic white cedar tree rings. Environmental Research Letters.
Alexander, M., C. Rollinson, A. Dye, N. Pederson, D. Moore, and V. Trouet. Submitted. Differential climate responses exist among canopy strata in temperate forests of the eastern US. Ecology.
Druckenbrod, D., D. Martin-Benito, D. Orwig, N. Pederson, B. Poulter, K. Renwick, and H.H. Shugart. Submitted. Redefining temperate forest responses to climate and disturbance in the eastern United States: new insights at the mesoscale. Ecography, Forum article.
* Zhao, S., Y. Jiang, M. Dong, H. Xu, and N. Pederson. In prep. Growth cessation of lower margin Qinghai spruce correspond to years with low early-monsoon precipitation. Ecological Applications. arXiv.
Di Cosmo, N., A. E. Hessl, C. Leland, O. Byambasuren, H. Tian, B. Nachin, N. Pederson, L. Andreu Hayles, and E. R. Cook Submitted. An Integrated Analysis of Climate and Socio-Economic Complexity in the Expansion and Collapse of the Uyghur Empire (744-840 CE). Proceedings of the National Academy of Science.
Levesque, M., L. Andreu Hayles, and N. Pederson. In revision. Water availability matters more than CO2 and acid deposition for growth in temperate mesic forests. Scientific Reports.
Marlon, J.R., N. Pederson, C. Nolan, S. Goring, B. Shuman, R. Booth, P. J. Bartlein, M.A. Berke, M. Clifford, E. Cook, A. Dieffenbacher-Krall, A. Hessl, J.B. Hubeny, S.T. Jackson, J. Marsicek, J. McLachlan, C.J. Mock, D.J.P. Moore, J. Nichols, A. Robertson, K. Schaefer, V. Trouet, C. Umbanhowar, J.W. Williams, and Z. Yu. In review. Paleoclimate of the northeastern United States during the past 3000 years. Climate of the Past, Discussion paper.
McLauchlan, K.K., L.M. Gerhart1, J.J. Battles, J.M. Craine, A. Elmore, P.E. Higuera, M.C. Mack, B.E. McNeil, D.M. Nelson, N. Pederson, and S.S. Perakis. In review. Centennial-scale reductions in nitrogen availability in temperate forests of the United States. Nature Communications.
Pederson, N., A.B. Young, A.B. Stan, D. Martin-Benito, and U. Ariya. In Revision. Low-hanging DendroDynamic Fruits Regarding Disturbance in Temperate, Mesic Forests. In Dendroecology: Tree-ring Analyses Applied to Ecological Studies, M. Amoroso, L. Daniels, P. Baker, J. J. Camarero, Eds. (Springer).
Trouet, V., M. Domínguez-Delmás, C. Pearson, N. Pederson, and D. Rubino. In revision. “Dendro-archeo-ecology” in North America and Europe: Re-purposing Historical Materials to Study Ancient Human-Environment Interactions. In Dendroecology: Tree-ring Analyses Applied to Ecological Studies, M. Amoroso, L. Daniels, P. Baker, J. J. Camarero, Eds. (Springer).
Maxwell, R.S., G.L. Harley, J.T. Maxwell, S.A. Rayback, N. Pederson, E.R. Cook, D.J. Barclay, W. Li, and J.A. Rayburn. In review. An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States. Hydrological Processes.
Liang, E., , B. Dawadi, N. Pederson, S. Piao, H. Zhu, D. Frank, L. Zhu, D. Eckstein, and D. Chen. In prep. Monsoon failure following large tropical volcanic eruptions over the last three centuries in the central Himalayas.
Rollinson, Christine, Y. Liu, A. Raiho, D. Moore, J. McLachlan, D. Bishop, A. Dye, J. Matthes, A. Hessl, T. Hickler, N. Pederson, B. Poulter, T. Quaife, K. Schaefer, J. Steinkamp, and M. Dietze. 2017. Emergent climate and CO2 sensitivities of net primary productivity in ecosystem models do not agree with empirical data. Global Change Biology .
* Seim, A., J. Schultz, C. Leland, N. Davi, O. Byambasuren, E. Liang, X. Wang, C. Beck, H.W. Linderholm, N. Pederson. 2016. Synoptic-scale circulation patterns during summer derived from tree rings in mid-latitude Asia. Climate Dynamics DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3426-7.
* Dye, A., A. Barker Plotkin, D. Bishop, A. Hessl, N. Pederson, and B. Poulter. 2016. Comparing tree-ring and permanent plot estimates of aboveground woody production in three Eastern U.S. Forests. Ecosphere.
Stager, J. C., B. Cumming, K. Laird, A. Garrigan-Piela, N. Pederson, B. Wiltse, C. S. Lane, J. Nester, and A. Ruzmaikin. 2016. Insights from a 1600-year hydroclimate reconstruction from Wolf Lake, New York: An uncertain future for precipitation in the Adirondacks? The Holocene
D’Orangeville, L., L. Duchesne, D. Houle, D. Kneeshaw, B. Côté, and N. Pederson. 2016. Eastern North America as a potential refugium for boreal forests in a warming climate. Science. doi: 10.1126/science.aaf4951. [Media: Phys.org; CTV News; Gizmodo; Motherboard; CBC News; The Wildlife Society; Business Insider; Nature ]
Hessl, A.E., P. Brown, O. Byambasuren, S. Cockrell, C. Leland, E. Cook, B. Nachin, N. Pederson, T. Saladyga, and B. Suran. 2016. Fire and Climate in Mongolia (1532-2010 CE). Geophysical Research Letters doi:.
Dangal, S., H. Tian, C. Lu, S. Pan, N. Pederson, and A. Hessl. 2016. Synergistic effects of climate change and grazing on net primary production in the grasslands of Mongolia. Ecosphere doi:. (Open access).
Luce, C.H., J. Vose, N. Pederson, J. Campbell, C. Millar, P. Kormos, and R. Woods. 2016. Contributing factors for drought in forest ecosystems in future climates. Forest Ecology and Management 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.020.
* Leland, C., J. Hom, N. Skowronski, F. T. Ledig, P. J. Krusic, E. R. Cook, D. Martin-Benito, J. Martin-Fernandez, N. Pederson. 2016. Missing Rings, Synchronous Growth, and Ecological Disturbance in a 36-year Pitch Pine (Pinus rigida) Provenance Study. PLOS ONE 10.1371/journal.pone.0154730.
* Trotsiuk, V., M. Svoboda, P. Weber, N. Pederson, S. Klesse, P. Janda, D. Martin-Benito, M. Mikolas, M. Seedre, R. Bace, D. Frank. 2016. The legacy of disturbance on individual tree and stand-level above ground biomass accumulation and stocks in primary mountain Picea abies forests. Forest Ecology & Management 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.04.038.
* Wang Y., N. Pederson, A. M. Ellison, H. Buckley, B. Case, E. Liang, and J. Julio Camarero. 2016. Increased stem density and competition diminishes potential positive effects of warming at alpine treeline. Ecology.
Black, B. A., D. Griffin, P. van der Sleen, A. D. Wanamaker Jr., J. H. Speer, D. C. Frank, D. W. Stahle, N. Pederson, C. A. Copenheaver, V. Trouet, S. Griffin, and B. M. Gillanders. 2016. The value of crossdating to retain high-frequency variability, climate signals, and extreme events in environmental proxies. Global Change Biology.
Clark, J., L.R. Iverson, C.W. Woodall, C. Allen, D. Bell, D. Bragg, A. D’Amato, F. Davis, M. Hersh, I. Ibanez, S. Jackson, S. Matthews, N. Pederson, M. Peters, M. Schwartz, K. Waring, and N. Zimmerman. 2016. The impacts of increasing drought on forest dynamics, structure, and biodiversity. Global Change Biology doi:.
Martin-Benito, D., C.C.Ummenhofer, N. Köse, H.T. Güner, and N. Pederson. 2016. Tree-ring reconstructed May-June precipitation in the Caucasus since 1752 CE. Climate Dynamics doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3010-1.
Luce, C.H., N. Pederson, J. Campbell, C. Millar, P. Kormos, J.M. Vose, and R. Woods. 2016. Characterizing Drought for Forested Landscapes and Streams. In: J. M. Vose, J.S. Clark, C.H. Luce, and T. Patel-Weynand (eds). Effects of Drought on Forests and Rangelands in the United States: A comprehensive Science Synthesis. US Forest Service Gen. Tech. Report WO-93b. Chapter 2, p 13-48.
Clark, J.S., L. Iverson, C.W. Woodall, C.D. Allen, D. M. Bell, D.C. Brag, A. D’Amato, F.W. Davis, M. Hersh, I. Ibanez, S.T. Jackson, S. Matthes, N. Pederson, M. Peters, M. Schwartz, K. Waring, and N.E. Zimmermann. 2016. Impacts of Increasing Drought on Forest Dynamics, Structure, Diversity, and Management. In: J. M. Vose, J.S. Clark, C.H. Luce, and T. Patel-Weynand (eds). Effects of Drought on Forests and Rangelands in the United States: A comprehensive Science Synthesis. US Forest Service Gen. Tech. Report WO-93b. Chapter 4, 59-96.
Bishop, D.A. and N. Pederson. 2015. Regional variation of transient precipitation and rainless day frequency across a subcontinental hydroclimate gradient. Journal of Extreme Events DOI 10.1142/S2345737615500074.
* Tipton, J., M. Hooten, N. Pederson, M. Tingley, and D. Bishop. 2015. Reconstruction of late Holocene climate based on tree growth and mechanistic hierarchical models. Environmetrics DOI: 10.1002/env.2368.
* Bishop, D., C. Beier, N. Pederson, G. Lawrence, J. Stella, and T. Sullivan. 2015. Regional growth decline in sugar maple (Acer saccharum) and potential causes. Ecosphere 6:art179.
Elliott, K., C. Miniat, N. Pederson, and S. Laseter. 2015. Eastern deciduous forest tree growth response to hydroclimate variability. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13045.
Di Filippo, A., N. Pederson, M. Baliva, M. Brunetti, A. Di Nella, K. Kitamura, H. Dieter Knapp, B. Schirone, and G. Piovesan. 2015. The longevity of deciduous trees in Northern Hemisphere temperate forests: insights from tree-ring series. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 3: 46. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2015.00046.
Martin-Benito, D.A., and N. Pederson. 2015. Convergence in drought stress, but a divergence of climatic drivers across a latitudinal gradient in a temperate broadleaf forest. Journal of Biogeography doi: 10.1111/jbi.12462.
Pederson, N., A.W. D’Amato, J.M. Dyer, D.R. Foster, D. Goldblum, J.L. Hart, A.E. Hessl, L.R. Iverson, S.T. Jackson, D. Martin-Benito, B.C. McCarthy, R.W. McEwan, D.J. Mladenoff, A.J. Parker, B. Shuman, and J.W. Williams. 2015. Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States. Global Change Biology DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12779.
Martin-Benito, D., N. Pederson, M. McDonald, B. Buckley, P. Krusic, K. Anchukaitis, R. D’Arrigo, L. Andreu-Hayles, and E. Cook. 2014. Dendrochronological dating of the World Trade Center ship, Lower Manhattan, New York City. Tree Ring Research 70: 65-77. Media: LiveScience, National Geographic, Philadelphia Inquirer, I F*cking Love Science, WNYC, NBC’s 3rd Block, WNBC, The New Yorker, Rings and Worms Tell the Tale of a Shipwreck Found at Ground Zero [Slide Show] Scientific American.
* Riddle, J., N. Pederson, J. C. Stella, D. J. Leopold. 2014. Shifting climate sensitivity and contrasting growth trends in Juniperus species growing together at opposite range margins. Tree Ring Research 70: 101-111. Student paper
Pederson, N., J.M. Dyer, R. W. McEwan, A.E. Hessl, C. Mock, D. Orwig, H.E. Rieder, and B.I. Cook. 2014. The legacy of episodic climatic events in shaping broadleaf-dominated forests. Ecological Monographs, DOI: 10.1890/13-1025.1.. Media: Harvard Gazette, Phys.orgl Red Orbit, The New Yorker. – PDF
Pederson, N., A.E. Hessl, [Joint First Authors] – B. Nachin, K.J. Anchukaitis, and N. Di Cosmo. 2014. Pluvials, droughts, the Mongol Empire, and modern Mongolia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111: 4375-4379. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive meta, NOAA/WDC Paleo archive, Media Climate Central, USA Today, BBC Radio 1, Minnesota Public Radio, Climate Cast, Discover Magazine, PNAS Cover, NYT, A Gamer’s Take. – PDF
McEwan, R. A., N. Pederson, A. Cooper, R. Watts, and A. Hruska. 2014. Fire and gap dynamics over 300 years in an old-growth temperate forest. Applied Vegetation Science 17: 312-322.
Carbone, M.S., C.I. Czimczik, T.F. Keenan, P.F. Murakami, N. Pederson, P.G. Schaberg, X. Xu, A.D. Richardson. 2013. Age, allocation, and availability of nonstructural carbon in mature red maple trees. New Phytologist 200: 1145-1155.
* Saladyga, T., A. Hessl, B. Nachin, and N. Pederson. 2013. Privatization, drought, and fire exclusion in the Tuul River watershed, Mongolia. Ecosystems 16: 1139-1151. Student paper
* Leland, C., N. Pederson, A. Hessl, B. Nachin, N. Davi, R. D. D’Arrigo, and G. Jacoby. 2013. A hydroclimatic regionalization of central Mongolia as inferred from tree rings. Dendrochronologia 31: 205-215. Student paper
Druckenbrod, D.L., N. Pederson, J. Rentch, and E.R. Cook. 2013. A comparison of times series approaches for dendroecological reconstructions of past canopy disturbance events. Forest Ecology and Management 302: 23-33.
Poulter, B., N. Pederson, H. Liu, Z. Zhu, R. D’Arrigo, P. Ciais, N. Davi, D. Frank, C. Leland, R. Myneni, S. Piao, and T Wang. 2013. Recent trends in Inner Asian forest dynamics to temperature and precipitation indicate high sensitivity to climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 178-179: 31-45.
Devineni, N., U. Lall, N. Pederson, and E.R. Cook. 2013. Delaware River Streamflow Reconstruction using Tree Rings: Exploration of Hierarchical Bayesian Regression. Journal of Climate 26: 4357–4374.
Davi, N., N. Pederson, C. Leland, B. Nachin, B. Suran, and G. Jacoby. 2013. Is eastern Mongolia drying? A long-term perspective of a multi-decadal trend. Water Research Resources 49: 151-158. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive.
Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston and K.J. Vranes. 2013. Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region? Journal of Climate 26: 1339-1354. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive, Media: Climate Central coverage, Popular Mechanics, Washington Post.
Li, Z., G. Liu, B. Fu, Q. Zhang, K. Ma, and N. Pederson. 2013. The growth-ring variations of alpine shrub Rhododendron przewalskii reflect regional climate signals in the alpine environment of Miyaluo Town in Western Sichuan Province, China. Acta Ecologica Sinica 33: 23-31.
Pederson, N., C. Leland, B. Nachin, A. Hessl, A.R. Bell, D. Martin-Benito, T. Saladyga, B. Suran, P.M. Brown, and N.K. Davi. 2013. Three Centuries of Shifting Hydroclimatic Regimes Across the Mongolian Breadbasket. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 178-179: 10-20. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive.
Pederson, N., K. Tackett, R. W. McEwan, S. Clark, A. Cooper, G. Brosi, R. Eaton, and R. D. Stockwell. 2012. Long-term drought sensitivity of trees in second-growth forests in a humid region. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 42: 1837-1850.
Seager, R., N. Pederson, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, and S. Jurburg. 2012. The 1960s drought and the subsequent shift to a wetter climate in the Catskill Mountains region of the New York City watershed. Journal of Climate 21: 6721-6742.
Sun, G., S. McLaughlin, J. Porter, J. Uddling, P.J. Mulholland, M.B. Adams, and N. Pederson. 2012. Interactive Influences of Ozone and Climate on Streamflow of Forested Watersheds. Global Change Biology 18: 3395-3409.
Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, T.A. Knight, C. Leland, N. Malcomb, K.J. Anchukaitis, K. Tackett, J. Scheff, A. Brice, B. Catron, W. Blozan, and J. Riddle. 2012. Long-term perspective on a modern drought in the American Southeast. Environmental Research Letters 7, 014034. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive. Media Env. Res. Web, Scientific American, Athens Banner-Herald.
Hessl, A.E., P. Brown, U. Ariya, O. Byambasuren, T. Green, G. Jacoby, E. Sutherland, B. Nachin, R. Maxwell, N. Pederson, L. De Grandpré, T. Saladyga, and J. C. Tardif. 2012. Reconstructing fire history in central Mongolia from tree-rings. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 21: 86-92.
De Grandpré, L., J.C. Tardif, A. Hessl, N. Pederson, F. Conciatori, T.R. Green, O. Byambasuren and B. Nachin. 2011. Seasonal shift in the climate responses of Pinus sibirica, Pinus sylvestris, and Larix sibirica trees from semi-arid, north-central Mongolia. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 41: 1242-1255.
* Maxwell, R. Stockton, Edward R. Cook, Neil Pederson, and Amy E. Hessl. 2011. A multi-species tree-ring reconstruction of Potomac River streamflow (950-2001). Water Resources Research 47: W05512.
Cook, E.R. and N. Pederson. 2011. Uncertainty, emergence, and statistics in dendrochronology. In M.K. Hughes, T.W. Swetnam, and H.F. Diaz (eds). Dendroclimatology: Progress and Prospects, Developments in Paleoecological Research 11: 77-112.
McEwan, R. W., J.M. Dyer and N. Pederson. 2011. Multiple interacting ecosystem drivers: toward an encompassing hypothesis of oak forest dynamics across eastern North America. Ecography 34: 244-256.
N. Pederson. 2010. External characteristics of old trees in the Eastern Deciduous Forest. Natural Areas Journal 30: 396-407.
* Bhuta, A.R., L.M. Kennedy and N. Pederson. 2009. Climate-radial growth relationships of northern latitudinal range margin Longleaf pine (Pinus palustris P. Mill) in the Atlantic Coastal Plain of southeastern Virginia. Tree ring Research 65: 105-115.
Black, B.A., J.J. Colbert and N. Pederson. 2008. Relationships between radial growth rates and lifespan within diverse tree species. Ecoscience 15(3): 349-357. Open Access featured paper.
Pederson, N., J.M. Varner, and B.J. Palik. 2008. Canopy disturbance and tree recruitment over two centuries in a managed longleaf pine landscape. Forest Ecology and Management. 254: 85-95. USFS Open Access.
Pederson, N., A.W. D’Amato and D.A. Orwig. 2007. Central hardwood natural history from dendrochronology: maximum ages of rarely studied species. Proceedings of the 15th Central Hardwood Conference. University of Tennessee. Knoxville, TN. February 27-March 1, 2006. USDA Forest Service Southern Research Station. e-General Technical Report SRS-101. Harvard Forest Open Access.
** Hopton, H.M. and N. Pederson. 2005. Climate sensitivity of Atlantic white-cedar at its northern range limit. Atlantic White Cedar: Ecology, Restoration and Management, Proceedings of the Arlington Echo Symposium. June 2-4 2003. Millersville, MD. USDA For. Ser. Gen. Tech. Rep. USFS Open Access. student paper
Pederson, N., E.R. Cook, G.C. Jacoby, D.M. Peteet, and K.L. Griffin. 2004. The influence of winter temperatures on the annual radial growth of six northern-range-margin tree species. Dendrochronologia 22: 7-29. LDEO Open Access.
Jacoby, G., N. Pederson and R. D’Arrigo. 2003. Temperature and precipitation in Mongolia based on dendroclimatic investigations. Chinese Science Bulletin 48: 1474-1479.
Pederson, N., G.C. Jacoby, R. D’Arrigo, B. Buckley, C. Dugarjav, and R. Mijiddorj. 2001. Hydrometeorological Reconstructions for Northeastern Mongolia Derived from Tree Rings: AD 1651-1995. Journal of Climate 14: 872-881.
D’Arrigo, R., G. Jacoby, D. Frank and N. Pederson. 2001. Spatial response to major volcanic events on or about AD 536, 934 and 1258: frost rings and other dendrochronological evidence form Mongolia. Climatic Change 49: 239-246.
D’Arrigo, R., G. Jacoby, D. Frank, N. Pederson, B. Buckley, B. Nachin, R. Mijiddorj and C. Dugarjav. 2001. 1738 years of Mongolian temperature variability inferred from a tree-ring width chronology of Siberian pine. Geophysical Research Letters 28: 543-546.
D’Arrigo, R., G. Jacoby, N. Pederson, D. Frank, B. Buckley, B. Nachin, R. Mijiddorj and C. Dugarjav. 2000. Mongolian Tree Rings, Temperature Sensitivity and Reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere Temperature. The Holocene 10: 669-672.
Meldahl, R.S., N. Pederson, J.S. Kush, and J.M. Varner, III. 1999. Dendrochronological investigations of climate and competitive effects on longleaf pine growth. In R. Wimmer and R E Vetter (eds.) Tree Ring Analysis: Biological, Methodological and Environmental Aspects. CABI Publishing. Wallingford, UK. pp. 265-285.
Pederson, N., R.H. Jones, and R.R. Sharitz. 1997. Age structure of old-growth loblolly pine stands in a floodplain forest. Journey of the Torrey Botanical Society 124: 111-123.
Palik, B.J., R.J. Mitchell, G. Houseal, and N. Pederson. 1997. Competitive effects of overstory structure and seedling response in a longleaf pine woodland ecosystem. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 27: 1458-1464. Jone Ecological Research Center Open Access.
Palik, B.J. and N. Pederson. 1996. Overstory mortality and canopy disturbances in longleaf pine ecosystems. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 26(11): 2035-2047. USFS Open Access.
Selected Unrefereed Publications
Barclay, D.J., N. Pederson, and C.B. Griggs. 2014*. Preface: Tree-Ring Studies in New York State: Past and present [A Tree-Ring Research Special Issue]. Tree Ring Research 70: 61-64.
* Seim, A.M. S.D. Merry, N. Pederson and R.B. Atkinson. 2006. The effect of temperature on the growth of Atlantic white cedar in two mid-Atlantic national wildlife refuges. Hydrology and Management of Forested Wetlands Proceedings of the International Conference 8-12 April 2006.
Pederson, N., J.S. Kush, R.S. Meldahl, and W.D. Boyer. 2000. Longleaf pine cone crops and climate: a possible link. Proceedings of the Tenth Biennial Southern Silvicultural Research Conference, February 1999. USFS Open Access
Pederson, N., L. Neel, and J. Kush. 1997. Ecosystem management ideas for the longleaf pine ecosystem. First Annual Meeting of the Longleaf Pine Alliance. September 1996. Mobile, AL. Longleaf Pine Alliance Open Access
Pederson, N., E. Everham, and J.M. Sahm. 1991. Natural disturbance simulation for the Luquillo Experimental Forest. In: Concern Toward Our Environment. J. McCloud, (ed.) Proceedings of the Computer Simulation Society.
* = student led research
** = undergraduate led research