Reverse Chronological Order

Submitted/In Review/In Revision

Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina,  Valentine Herrmann, Christine Rollinson, Bianca Gonzalez, Erika Gonzalez-Akre, Neil Pederson, M. Ross Alexander, Craig D. Allen, Raquel Alfaro Sánchez, Tala Awada, Jennifer Baltzer, Patrick Baker, Joseph Birch, Sarayudh Bunyavejchewin, Paolo Cherubini, Stuart Davies, Cameron Dow, Ryan Helcoski, Jakub Kaspar, James Lutz, Ellis Margolis, Justin Maxwell, Sean McMahon, Camille Piponiot, Sabrina Russo, Pavel Šamonil, Anastasia Sniderhan, Alan Tepley, Ivana Vasickova, Mart Vlam, and Peter Zuidema. Submitted. Joint effects of climate, tree size, and year on annual tree growth derived from tree-ring records of ten globally distributed forests. Global Change Biology.

Teets, Aaron, David Moore, Ross M. Alexander, Peter Blanken, Gil Bohrer, Sean Burns, Mariah Carbone, Mark Ducey, Shawn Fraver, Christopher Gough, Dave Hollinger, George Koch, Tom Kolb, William Munger, Kimberly Novick, Scott Ollinger, Andrew Ouimette, Neil Pederson, Daniel Ricciuto, Bijan Seyednasrollah, Christoph Vogel, and Andrew Richardson. Submitted. Coupling of tree growth and photosynthetic carbon uptake in six North American forests. New Phytologist.

D’Orangeville, Loïc, Malcolm Itter, Daniel Kneeshaw, William Munger, Andrew Richardson, James Dyer, Dave Orwig, Yude Pan, and Neil Pederson. In review. Radial growth phenology exposes diffuse-porous species to lower water availability than ring-porous and coniferous trees. Tree Physiology

Rademacher, Tim; Bijan Seyednasrollah, David Basler, Jian Cheng, Tessa Mandra, Elise Miller, Zudi Lin, David Orwig, Neil Pederson, Hanspeter Pfister, Andrew Richardson, Donglai Wei, and Yao Li. In revision. The Wood Image Analysis and Dataset (WIAD): open-access visual analysis tools to advance the ecological data revolution. Methods in Ecology and Evolution.

Zhang, Yiping, Junliang Xu, Yuan Jiang, Tessa Mandra, Tim T. Rademacher, and Neil Pederson. In review. Higher plasticity of water uptake in spruce than larch in an alpine habitat. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology.

Novick, Kimberly, Insu Jo, Loic D’Orangeville, Michael Benson, Tsun Fung Au, Mallory Barnes, Sander Denham, Songlin Fei, Kelly Heilman, Taehee Hwang, Tara Keyser, Justin Maxwell, Chelcy Miniat, Jason McLachlan, Neil Pederson, Lixin Wang, Jeffrey Wood, and Richard Phillips. In revision. The drought response of eastern US oaks in the context of their ongoing decline. 

* Leland, Caroline, Laia Andreu-Hayles, Edward R. Cook, Kevin Anchukaitis, Dario Martin-Benito, Neil Pederson, Amy Hessl, Baatarbileg Nachin, and Oyunsanaa Byambasuren. In revision. Physiological responses of ancient pine trees to partial stem dieback and environmental changes. Tree Physiology.



Davi, Nicole, Mukund Rao, Robert Wilson, Laia Andreu-Hayles, Rose Oelkers, Rosanne D’Arrigo, Bataarbileg Nachin, Brendan Buckley, Neil Pederson, Carolina Leland, and Byambagerel Suran. Accepted. Accelerated recent warming and temperature variability over the past eight centuries in the central Asian Altai from blue intensity in tree rings. Geophysical Research Letters




* Heilman, Kelly, Valerie Trouet, Soumaya Belmecheri, Neil Pederson, Melissa Berke, and Jason McLachlan. 2021. Increased water use efficiency leads to decreased precipitation sensitivity of tree growth, but is offset by high temperatures. Oecologia doi: 10.1007/s00442-021-04892-0.

Zhang, Junzhou, Xiaohua Gou, Ross Alexander, Jingqing Xia, Fang Wang, Fen Zhang, Zihong Man, and Neil Pederson. 2021. Drought limits wood production of Juniperus przewalskii even as growing seasons lengthens in a cold and arid environment. Catena doi: 10.1016/j.catena.2020.104936.


Rollinson, C., M. Alexander, A. Dye, D. Moore, N. Pederson, and V. Trouet. 2020. Understory trees are more climate sensitive than overstory trees in temperate mesic forests. Ecology doi: 10.1002/ecy.3264.

RETRACTED: Manzanedo, Rubén D., Janneke HilleRisLambers, Tim T. Rademacher, and Neil Pederson. 2020. Evidence of unprecedented rise in growth synchrony from global tree ring records. Nature Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1038/s41559-020-01306-x.

** Waterman, Jamie M., Anthony W. D’Amato, David R. Foster, David A. Orwig, and Neil Pederson. 2020. Historic forest composition and structure across an old-growth landscape in New Hampshire, USA. Journal of the Torrey Botanical Society doi: 10.3159/TORREY-D-18-00033.1.

* Zhang, Junzhou, M. Ross Alexander, Xiaohua Gou, Annie Deslauriers, Patrick Fonti, Fen Zhang, and Neil Pederson. 2020. Extended xylogenesis and stem biomass production in Juniperus przewalskii Kom. during extreme late-season climatic events. Annals of Forest Science doi: 10.1007/s13595-020-01008-1

LeBlanc, David, Justin Maxwell, Neil Pederson, Adam Berland, and Tessa Mandra. 2020. Radial Growth Responses of Tulip Poplar (Liriodendron tulipifera) to Climate in the Eastern United States. Ecosphere doi: 10.1002/ecs2.3203.

Martin-Benito, Dario, Neil Pederson, Macarena Ferriz, and Guillermo Gea-Izquierdo. 2020. Old forests and old carbon: a case study on the stand dynamics and longevity of aboveground carbon. Science of the Total Environment doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142737.

McGregor, Ian, Ryan Helcoski, Norbert Kunert, Alan Tepley, Erika Gonzalez-Akre, Valentine Herrmann, Joseph Zailaa, Atticus Stovall, Norman Bourg, William McShea, Neil Pederson, Lawren Sack, and Kristina Anderson-Teixeira. 2020. Tree height and hydraulic traits shape growth responses across droughts in a temperate broadleaf forest. New Phytologist doi: 10.1111/nph.16996.

Finzi, Adrien, Marc-André Giasson, Audrey Barker Plotkin, John Aber, Emery Boose, Eric Davidson, Michael Dietze, Aaron Ellison, Serita Frey, Trevor Keenan, Jerry Melillo, J. William Munger, Knute Nadelhoffer, David Orwig, Scott; Ollinger, Neil Pederson, Andrew Richardson, Kathleen Savage, Jianwu Tang, Jonathan Thompson, Christopher Williams, Steve Wofsy, Zaixing Zhou, and David Foster. 2020. Carbon Budget of the Harvard Forest Long-Term Ecological Research Site: Pattern, Process and Response to Global Change. Ecological Monographs doi: 10.1002/ecm.1423.

* Au, Tsun Fung, Justin Maxwell, Kimberly Novick, Scott Robeson, Scott Warner, Benjamin Lockwood, Richard Phillips, Grant Harley, F.W. Telewski, Matthew Therrell, and Neil Pederson. 2020. Demographic shifts in eastern US forests increase the impact of late-season drought on forest growth. Ecography doi: 10.1111/ecog.05055

Pederson, Neil, Caroline Leland, Daniel A. Bishop, Jessie K. Pearl, Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Tessa Mandra, Myvonwynn Hopton-Ahmed, and Dario Martin-Benito. 2020. A framework for determining population-level vulnerability to climate: evidence for growth hysteresis in Chamaecyparis thyoides along its contiguous latitudinal distribution. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, section Temperate and Boreal Forests doi: 10.3389/ffgc.2020.00039.

Dannenberg, Matthew, Conghe Song, Erika Wise, Neil Pederson, and Daniel Bishop. 2020. Delineating environmental stresses to primary production of U.S. forests from tree rings: Effects of climate seasonality, soil, and topography. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences doi: 10.1029/2019JG005499

Stahle, David W., Edward R. Cook, Dorian J. Burnette, Max C.A. Torbenson, Ian M. Howard, Daniel Griffin, Jose Villanueva Diaz, Benjamin I. Cook, Park A. Williams, Emma Watson, David J. Sauchyn, Neil Pederson, Connie A. Woodhouse, Gregory T. Pederson, David Meko, Bethany Coulthard, and Christopher J. Crawford. 2020. Dynamics, variability, and change in seasonal precipitation reconstructions for North America. Journal of Climate doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0270.1.

* Pearl, Jessie K., Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Neil Pederson, Jeffery P. Donnelly. 2020. Multivariate climate field reconstructions using tree rings for the northeastern United States. Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres doi: 10.1029/2019JD031619.

* Pearl, Jessie K., Kevin Anchukaitis, Jeffrey P. Donnelly, Charlotte Pearson, Neil Pederson, Mary C. Lardie Gaylord, Ann P McNichol, Edward Cook, George L. Zimmermann. 2020. A late Holocene subfossil Atlantic white cedar tree-ring chronology from the northeastern United States. Quaternary Science Reviews doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.106104.


Andrews, Elicia, Pamela Snow, Clarisse Hart, and Neil Pederson. 2019. A window into a tree’s world. NSF Data Nugget.

Martin-Benito, Dario, Neil Pederson, Claudia Vollenweider, Nesibe Köse, Mehmet Doğan, Harald Bugmann, and Christof Bigler. 2019. Disturbances and climate drive structure, stability and growth in mixed temperate old-growth rainforests in the Caucasus. Ecosystems doi:

Asbjornsen, Heidi and John L. Campbell; secondary authors: Anthony W. D’Amato, Jeff Garnas, John S. Gunn, Louis R. Iverson, Todd A. Ontl, Neil Pederson, Matthew P. Peters, and P. Danielle Shannon. 2019. Managing Effects of Drought in the Midwest and Northeast United States. In: Vose, James M.; Peterson, David L.; Luce, Charles H.; Patel-Weynand, Toral, eds. Effects of drought on forests and rangelands in the United States: translating science into management responses. Gen. Tech. Rep. WO-98. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Washington Office. 165-190. Chapter 8

Maxwell, Justin, Grant Harley, Tessa Mandra, Koong Yi, Steven Kannenberg, Tsun Fung Au, Scott Robeson, Neil Pederson, Peter Sauer, and Kimberly Novick. 2019. Higher CO2 concentrations and lower acidic deposition have not changed drought response in hardwood trees in the Midwestern US. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences dod: 10.1029/2019JG005298

Manzanedo, Rubén D. and Neil Pederson. 2019. Towards a more ecological dendroecology. Tree-Ring Research doi: 10.3959/TRR2019-1.

Zhang, X., R. Manzanedo, L. D’Orangeville, T. Rademacher, J. Li, X. Bai, M. Hou, F. Zou, F. Song, and N. Pederson. 2019. Snowmelt and early- to mid-growing season water availability augment tree growth during rapid warming in southern Asian boreal forests. Global Change Biology doi: 10.1111/14749.

Alexander, M. Ross,  Jessie K. Pearl, Daniel A. Bishop, Edward R. Cook,  Kevin J. Anchukaitis, and Neil Pederson. 2019. The potential to strengthen temperature reconstructions in ecoregions with limited tree line using a multi-species approach. Quaternary Research doi: 10.1017/qua.2019.33

Helcoski, Ryan, Alan Tepley, Neil Pederson, Jennifer McGarvey, Victoria Meakem, Valentine Herrmann, Jonathan Thompson, Kristina Anderson-Teixeira. 2019. Growing season moisture drives inter-annual variation in woody productivity of a temperate deciduous forest. New Phytologist doi: 10.1111/nph.15906

Lu, Chaoqun.  Hanqin Tian , Jien Zhang, Zhen Yu, Shufen Pan, Shree Dangal, Bowen Zhang, Jia Yang, Neil Pederson, and Amy Hessl. 2019. Severe long-lasting drought accelerated carbon depletion in the Mongolian Plateau. Geophysical Research Letters doi: 10.1029/2018GL081418

Liang, E., D. Binod , N. Pederson, S. Piao, H. Zhu, D. David, and D. Cheng. 2019. Monsoon failure for the central Himalayas following large tropical volcanic eruptions over the last three centuries. Science Bulletin doin: 10.1016/j.scib.2019.05.002.

Levesque, M., L. Andreu-Hayles, W. K. Smith, A. P. Williams, M. L. Hobi, and N. Pederson. 2019. Tree-ring isotopes reflect satellite-based net primary productivity estimates at the biome scale. Nature Communications doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-08634-y. Media Coverage: [Nexus, Science Times, EcoWatch]

Druckenbrod, D., D. Martin-Benito, D. Orwig, N. Pederson, B. Poulter, K. Renwick, and H.H. Shugart. 2019. Redefining temperate forest responses to climate and disturbance in the eastern United States: new insights at the mesoscale. Global Ecology and Biogeography doi: 10.1111/geb.12876

Wang, X., N. Pederson, Z-j. Chen, K. Lawton, C. Zhu, and S. Han. 2019. Recent rising temperatures drive younger and southern Korean pine growth decline. Science of the Total Environment doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.08.393

* Zhao, S., N. Pederson, L. D’Orangeville, J. HilleRisLambers, E. Boose, C. Penone, B. Bauer, Y. Jiang, and R. Manzanedo. 2019. The International Tree Ring Data Bank (ITRDB) revisited: Data availability and global ecological representativity. Journal of Biogeography 10.1111/jbi.13488 Revised ITRDB available here.


* Dye, A., M.R. Alexander, D.A. Bishop, D. Druckenbrod, N. Pederson, and A. Hessl. 2018. Size-growth asymmetry is not consistently related to productivity across an eastern U.S. temperate forest network. Oecologia doi: 10.1007/s00442-018-4318-9.

* Kannenberg, S.A., J.T. Maxwell, N. Pederson, L. D’Orangeville, D.L. Ficklin, and R.P. Phillips. 2018. Drought legacies are dependent on water table depth, wood anatomy, and drought timing across the eastern U.S. Ecology Letters doi: 10.1111/ele.13173.

Büntgen, U., L. Wacker, J.D. Galván, S. Arnold, D. Arseneault, M. Baillie, J. Beer, M. Bernabei, N. Bleicher, G. Boswijk, A. Bräuning, M. Carrer, F.C. Ljungqvist, P. Cherubini,  M. Christl, D.A. Christie, P.W. Clark, E.R. Cook, R. D’Arrigo, N. Davi, Ó. Eggertsson, J. Esper, A.M. Fowler, Z. Gedalof, F. Gennaretti, J. Grießinger, H. Grissino-Mayer, H. Grudd, B.E. Gunnarson, R. Hantemirov, F. Herzig, A. Hessl, K.-U. Heussner, A.J.T. Jull, V. Kukarskih, A. Kirdyanov, T. Kolář, P.J. Krusic, T. Kyncl, A. Lara, C. LeQuesne, H.W. Linderholm, N.J. Loader, B. Luckman, F. Miyake, V. Myglan, K. Nicolussi, C. Oppenheimer, J. Palmer, I. Panyushkina, N. Pederson, M. Rybníček, F.H. Schweingruber, A. Seim, M. Sigl, O. Churakova (Sidorova), J.H. Speer, H.-A. Synal, W. Tegel, K. Treydte, R. Villalba, G. Wiles, Rob Wilson, L.J. Winship, J. Wunder, B. Yang, and G.H.F. Young. 2018. Global Signature of cosmogenic events. Nature Communications doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-06036-0.

Martin-Benito, D., N. Pederson, N. Köse, M. Doğan, H. Bugmann, M. Mosulishvili, and C. Bigler. 2018. Pervasive effects of drought on tree growth across a wide climatic gradient in the temperate forests of the Caucasus. Global Ecology and Biogeography 10.1111/geb.12799.

* Zhao, S., Y. Jiang, M. Dong, H. Xu, and N. Pederson. 2018. Early monsoon failure and mid-summer dryness induces growth cessation of lower range margin Picea crassifolia. Trees doi: 10.1007/s0046 – [An earlier version is also at arXiv Note: the paper has changed a good bit.]

* Zhang, J., X. Gou, R. Manzanedo, F. Zhang, and N. Pederson. 2018. Cambial phenology and xylogenesis of Juniperus przewalskii over a climatic gradient influenced by both temperature and drought. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 260-261: 165-175; doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.06.011.

* Trotsiuk, V., D. Druckenbrod, N. Pederson, D. Orwig, D. Bishop, A. Barker Plotkin, S. Fraver, and D. Martin-Benito. 2018. Testing the efficacy of tree-ring methods for detecting past disturbances. Forest Ecology and Management doi 10.1016/j.foreco2018.05.045.

* Zhu, L., X. Wang, N. Pederson, Z.-j. Chen, Zhenju, D. Cooper, Y. Zhang, and Z. Li. 2018. Spatial variability in growth-climate relationships of Amur cork tree (Phellodendronamurense) and their connections with PDO in northeast China. Journal of  Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences doi: 10.1029/2017JG004292

Hessl, A.E., K. Anchukaitis, C. Jelsema, B. Cook, O. Byambasuren, C. Leland, N. Baatarbileg, N. Pederson, H. Tian , L. Andreu-Hayles. 2018. Past and Future Drought in Mongolia. Science Advances doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1701832.

Di Cosmo, N., A. E. Hessl, C. Leland, O. Byambasuren, H. Tian, B. Nachin, N. Pederson, L. Andreu Hayles, and E. R. Cook. 2018. An Integrated Analysis of Climate and Socio-Economic Complexity in the Expansion and Collapse of the Uyghur Empire (744-840 CE). Journal of Interdisciplinary History 48: 439:463.

* Leland, C., E. Cook, L. Andreu-Hayles, N. Pederson, A. Hessl, K. Anchukaitis, O. Byambasuren, B. Nachin, N. Davi, R. D’Arrigo, D. Bishop, and M. Rao. 2018. Strip-bark morphology and radial growth trends in ancient Pinus sibirica trees from central Mongolia. Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences doi: 10.1002/2017JG004196.

D’Orangeville, L. J. Maxwell, D. Kneeshaw, N. Pederson, L. Duchesne, T. Logan, D. Houle, D. Arseneault, C.M. Beier, D.A. Bishop, D. Druckenbrod, S. Fraver, F. Girard, J. Halman, C. Hansen, J.L. Hart, H. Hartmann, M. Kaye, D. Leblanc, S. Manzoni, S. Rayback, C. Rollinson, R.P. Phillips. 2018. Drought timing and local climate determine the sensitivity of eastern temperate forests to drought. Global Change Biology doi: 10.1111/gcb.14096

* Zhang, J., X. Gou, N. Pederson, F. Zhang, H. Niu, S. Zhao, and F. Wang. 2018. Cambial phenology in Juniperus przewalskii along different altitudinal gradients in a cold and arid region. Tree Physiology doi: 10.1093/treephys/tpx160.

Yu, Z., C. Lu, P. Cao, H. Tian, A. Hessl, and N. Pederson. 2018. Earlier leaf-flushing suppressed ecosystem productivity by draining soil water in the Mongolian Plateau. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology doi: 10.1016/agrformet.2017.11.035.


Pederson, N., A.B. Young, A.B. Stan, U. Ariya and D. Martin-Benito. 2017. Low-hanging DendroDynamic Fruits Regarding Disturbance in Temperate, Mesic Forests. In Dendroecology: Tree-ring Analyses Applied to Ecological Studies, M. Amoroso, L. Daniels, P. Baker, J. J. Camarero, Eds. (Springer). pp. 97-134.

Trouet, V., M. Domínguez-Delmás, C. Pearson, N. Pederson, and D. Rubino. 2017. “Dendro-archeo-ecology” in North America and Europe: Re-purposing Historical Materials to Study Ancient Human-Environment Interactions. In Dendroecology: Tree-ring Analyses Applied to Ecological Studies, M. Amoroso, L. Daniels, P. Baker, J. J. Camarero, Eds. (Springer). pp. 365-394.

* Pearl, J., K. Anchukaitis, N. Pederson, and J. Donnelly. 2017. Reconstructing Northeastern United States temperatures using Atlantic white cedar tree rings. Environmental Research Letters 12: 114012. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8f1b.

Marlon, J.R., N. Pederson, C. Nolan, S. Goring, B. Shuman, R. Booth, P. J. Bartlein, M.A. Berke, M. Clifford, E. Cook, A. Dieffenbacher-Krall, A. Hessl, J.B. Hubeny, S.T. Jackson, J. Marsicek, J. McLachlan, C.J. Mock, D.J.P. Moore, J. Nichols, A. Robertson, K. Schaefer, V. Trouet, C. Umbanhowar, J.W. Williams, and Z. Yu. 2017. Paleoclimate of the northeastern United States during the past 3000 years. Climate of the Past, 10.5194/cp-13-1355-2017.

Montane, F., A. Fox, A. Arellano, N. MacBean, R. Alexander, A. Dye, D. Bishop, V. Trouet, F. Babst, A. Hessl, N. Pederson, P. Blanken, G. Bohrer, C. Gough, M. Litvak, K. Novick, R. Phillips, J. Wood, and D. Moore. 2017. Evaluating the effect of alternative carbon allocation schemes in a land surface model on carbon fluxes, pools and turnover in temperate forests. Geoscientific Model Development 10: 3499-3517, doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-3499-2017.

McLauchlan, K.K., L.M. Gerhart1, J.J. Battles, J.M. Craine, A. Elmore, P.E. Higuera,  M.C. Mack, B.E. McNeil, D.M. Nelson, N. Pederson, and S.S. Perakis. 2017. Centennial-scale reductions in nitrogen availability in temperate forests of the United States. Scientific Reports doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-08170-z.

Levesque, M., L. Andreu Hayles, and N. Pederson. 2017. Water availability matters more than CO2 and acid deposition for growth in temperate mesic forests. Scientific Reports doi: 10.1038/srep46158.

Foster, David, Kathleen Fallon Lambert, David Kittredge, Brian Donahue, Clarisse Hart, William Labich, Spencer Meyer, Jonathan Thompson, Mary Buchanan, James Levitt, Robert Perschel, Keith Ross, Geordie Elkins, Cheryl Daigle, Brian Hall, Edward Faison, Anthony D’Amato, Richard Forman, Peter Del Tredici, Lloyd Irland, Betsy Colburn, David Orwig, John Aber, Alan Berger, Charles Driscoll, William Keeton, Robert Lilieholm, Neil Pederson, Aaron Ellison, Malcolm Hunter, and Timothy Fahey. 2017. Wildlands and Woodlands, Farmlands and Communities: Broadening the Vision for New England. Download the Report. Web page link.

Maxwell, R.S., G.L. Harley, J.T. Maxwell, S.A. Rayback, N. Pederson, E.R. Cook, D.J. Barclay, W. Li, and J.A. Rayburn. 2017. An interbasin comparison of tree-ring reconstructed streamflow in the eastern United States. Hydrological Processes doi: 10.1002/hyp.11188.

Rollinson, Christine, Y. Liu, A. Raiho, D. Moore, J. McLachlan, D. Bishop, A. Dye, J. Matthes, A. Hessl, T. Hickler, N. Pederson, B. Poulter, T. Quaife, K. Schaefer, J. Steinkamp, and M. Dietze. 2017. Emergent climate and CO2 sensitivities of net primary productivity in ecosystem models do not agree with empirical data. Global Change Biology doi: 10.1111/gcb.13626.


* Seim, A., J. Schultz, C. Leland, N. Davi, O. Byambasuren, E. Liang, X. Wang, C. Beck, H.W. Linderholm, N. Pederson. 2016. Synoptic-scale circulation patterns during summer derived from tree rings in mid-latitude Asia. Climate Dynamics DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3426-7.

* Dye, A., A. Barker Plotkin, D. Bishop, A. Hessl, N. Pederson, and B. Poulter. 2016.  Comparing tree-ring and permanent plot estimates of aboveground woody production in three Eastern U.S. Forests. Ecosphere DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.1454.

Stager, J. C., B. Cumming, K. Laird, A. Garrigan-Piela, N. Pederson, B. Wiltse, C. S. Lane, J. Nester, and A. Ruzmaikin. 2016. Insights from a 1600-year hydroclimate reconstruction from Wolf Lake, New York: An uncertain future for precipitation in the Adirondacks? The Holocene

D’Orangeville, L., L. Duchesne, D. Houle, D. Kneeshaw, B. Côté, and N. Pederson. 2016. Northeastern North America as a potential refugium for boreal forests in a warming climate. Science. doi: 10.1126/science.aaf4951. [Media:; CTV News; Gizmodo; Motherboard; CBC News; The Wildlife SocietyBusiness Insider; Nature ]

Martin Benito, D. and N. Pederson. 2016. Recent climate may have masked the vulnerability of mesic temperate forests. Science eLetter. doi: 10.13140/RG.2.1.3799.2566.

Hessl, A.E., P. Brown, O. Byambasuren, S. Cockrell, C. Leland, E. Cook, B. Nachin, N. Pederson, T. Saladyga, and B. Suran. 2016. Fire and Climate in Mongolia (1532-2010 CE). Geophysical Research Letters doi: 10.1002/2016GL069059.

Dangal, S., H. Tian, C. Lu, S. Pan, N. Pederson, and A. Hessl. 2016. Synergistic effects of climate change and grazing on net primary production in the grasslands of Mongolia. Ecosphere doi: 10.1002/ecs2.1274. (Open access).

Luce, C.H., J. Vose, N. Pederson, J. Campbell, C. Millar, P. Kormos, and R. Woods. 2016. Contributing factors for drought in forest ecosystems in future climates. Forest Ecology and Management 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.05.020.

* Leland, C., J. Hom, N. Skowronski, F. T. Ledig, P. J. Krusic, E. R. Cook, D. Martin-Benito, J. Martin-Fernandez, N. Pederson. 2016. Missing Rings, Synchronous Growth, and Ecological Disturbance in a 36-year Pitch Pine (Pinus rigida) Provenance Study. PLOS ONE 10.1371/journal.pone.0154730.

* Trotsiuk, V., M. Svoboda, P. Weber, N. Pederson, S. Klesse, P. Janda, D. Martin-Benito, M. Mikolas, M. Seedre, R. Bace, D. Frank. 2016. The legacy of disturbance on individual tree and stand-level above ground biomass accumulation and stocks in primary mountain Picea abies forests. Forest Ecology & Management 10.1016/j.foreco.2016.04.038.

* Wang Y., N. Pederson, A. M. Ellison, H. Buckley, B. Case, E. Liang, and J. Julio Camarero. 2016. Increased stem density and competition diminishes potential positive effects of warming at alpine treeline. Ecology 10.1890/15-1264.1.

Black, B. A., D. Griffin, P. van der Sleen, A. D. Wanamaker Jr., J. H. Speer, D. C. Frank, D. W. Stahle, N. Pederson, C. A. Copenheaver, V. Trouet, S. Griffin, and B. M. Gillanders. 2016. The value of crossdating to retain high-frequency variability, climate signals, and extreme events in environmental proxies. Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.13256.

Clark, J., L.R.  Iverson, C.W. Woodall, C. Allen, D. Bell, D. Bragg, A. D’Amato, F. Davis, M. Hersh, I. Ibanez, S. Jackson, S. Matthews, N. Pederson, M. Peters, M. Schwartz, K. Waring, and N. Zimmerman. 2016. The impacts of increasing drought on forest dynamics, structure, and biodiversity. Global Change Biology doi: 10.1111/gcb.13160.

Martin-Benito, D., C.C.Ummenhofer, N. Köse, H.T. Güner, and N. Pederson. 2016. Tree-ring reconstructed May-June precipitation in the Caucasus since 1752 CE. Climate Dynamics doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3010-1.

Luce, C.H., N. Pederson, J. Campbell, C. Millar, P. Kormos, J.M. Vose, and R. Woods. 2016. Characterizing Drought for Forested Landscapes and Streams. In:  J. M. Vose, J.S. Clark, C.H. Luce, and T. Patel-Weynand (eds). Effects of Drought on Forests and Rangelands in the United States: A comprehensive Science Synthesis. US Forest Service Gen. Tech. Report WO-93b. Chapter 2, p 13-48.

Clark, J.S., L. Iverson, C.W. Woodall, C.D. Allen, D. M. Bell, D.C. Brag, A. D’Amato, F.W. Davis, M. Hersh, I. Ibanez, S.T. Jackson, S. Matthes, N. Pederson, M. Peters, M. Schwartz, K. Waring, and N.E. Zimmermann. 2016. Impacts of Increasing Drought on Forest Dynamics, Structure, Diversity, and Management. In:  J. M. Vose, J.S. Clark, C.H. Luce, and T. Patel-Weynand (eds). Effects of Drought on Forests and Rangelands in the United States: A comprehensive Science Synthesis. US Forest Service Gen. Tech. Report WO-93b. Chapter 4, 59-96.


Bishop, D.A. and N. Pederson. 2015. Regional variation of transient precipitation and rainless day frequency across a subcontinental hydroclimate gradient. Journal of Extreme Events DOI 10.1142/S2345737615500074.

* Tipton, J., M. Hooten, N. Pederson, M. Tingley, and D. Bishop.  2015. Reconstruction of late Holocene climate based on tree growth and mechanistic hierarchical models. Environmetrics DOI: 10.1002/env.2368.

*Bishop, D., C. Beier, N. Pederson, G. Lawrence, J. Stella, and T. Sullivan. 2015. Regional growth decline in sugar maple (Acer saccharum) and potential causes. Ecosphere 6:art179.

Elliott, K., C. Miniat, N. Pederson, and S. Laseter. 2015. Eastern deciduous forest tree growth response to hydroclimate variability. Global Change Biology. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13045.

Di Filippo, A., N. Pederson, M. Baliva, M. Brunetti, A. Di Nella, K. Kitamura, H. Dieter Knapp, B. Schirone, and G.  Piovesan. 2015. The longevity of deciduous trees in Northern Hemisphere temperate forests: insights from tree-ring series. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 3: 46. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2015.00046.

Martin-Benito, D.A., and N. Pederson. 2015. Convergence in drought stress, but a divergence of climatic drivers across a latitudinal gradient in a temperate broadleaf forest. Journal of Biogeography doi: 10.1111/jbi.12462.

Pederson, N., A.W. D’Amato, J.M. Dyer, D.R. Foster, D. Goldblum, J.L. Hart, A.E. Hessl, L.R. Iverson, S.T. Jackson, D. Martin-Benito, B.C. McCarthy, R.W. McEwan, D.J. Mladenoff, A.J. Parker, B. Shuman,  and J.W. Williams. 2015. Climate remains an important driver of post-European vegetation change in the eastern United States. Global Change Biology DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12779.


Martin-Benito, D., N. Pederson, M. McDonald, B. Buckley, P. Krusic, K. Anchukaitis, R. D’Arrigo, L. Andreu-Hayles, and E. Cook. 2014. Dendrochronological dating of the World Trade Center ship, Lower Manhattan, New York City. Tree Ring Research 70: 65-77. Media: LiveScience, National Geographic, Philadelphia Inquirer, I F*cking Love Science, WNYC, NBC’s 3rd Block,  WNBC, The New Yorker, Rings and Worms Tell the Tale of a Shipwreck Found at Ground Zero [Slide Show] Scientific American.

*Riddle, J., N. Pederson, J. C. Stella, D. J. Leopold. 2014. Shifting climate sensitivity and contrasting growth trends in Juniperus species growing together at opposite range margins. Tree Ring Research 70: 101-111. Student paper

Pederson, N., J.M. Dyer, R. W. McEwan, A.E. Hessl, C. Mock, D. Orwig, H.E. Rieder, and B.I. Cook. 2014. The legacy of episodic climatic events in shaping broadleaf-dominated forests. Ecological Monographs, DOI: 10.1890/13-1025.1.. Media: Harvard Gazette, Phys.orgl Red Orbit, The New Yorker. – PDF

Pederson, N., A.E. Hessl, [Joint First Authors] – B. Nachin, K.J. Anchukaitis, and N. Di Cosmo. 2014. Pluvials, droughts, the Mongol Empire, and modern Mongolia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111: 4375-4379. Data: Paleo reconstruction of scPDSI  More on this pageMediaClimate Central, USA Today, BBC Radio 1, Minnesota Public Radio, Climate Cast, Discover Magazine, PNAS Cover, NYT, A Gamer’s Take. – PDF

Liang, E., B. Diwadi, N. Pederson, and D. Eckstein. 2014. Is the growth of birch at the upper timberline in the Himalayas limited by moisture or by temperature? Ecology, DOI: 10.1890/13-1904.1. – PDF

McEwan, R. A., N. Pederson, A. Cooper, R. Watts, and A. Hruska. 2014. Fire and gap dynamics over 300 years in an old-growth temperate forest. Applied Vegetation Science 17: 312-322.


Carbone, M.S., C.I. Czimczik, T.F. Keenan, P.F. Murakami, N. Pederson, P.G. Schaberg, X. Xu, A.D. Richardson. 2013. Age, allocation, and availability of nonstructural carbon in mature red maple trees. New Phytologist 200: 1145-1155.

*Saladyga, T., A. Hessl, B. Nachin, and N. Pederson. 2013. Privatization, drought, and fire exclusion in the Tuul River watershed, Mongolia. Ecosystems 16: 1139-1151. Student paper

*Leland, C., N. Pederson, A. Hessl, B. Nachin, N. Davi, R. D. D’Arrigo, and G. Jacoby. 2013. A hydroclimatic regionalization of central Mongolia as inferred from tree rings. Dendrochronologia 31: 205-215. Student paper

Druckenbrod, D.L., N. Pederson, J. Rentch, and E.R. Cook. 2013. A comparison of times series approaches for dendroecological reconstructions of past canopy disturbance events. Forest Ecology and Management 302: 23-33.

*Douglas, D., D. Brown, and N. Pederson. 2013. Land snail diversity can reflect degrees of anthropogenic disturbance. Ecosphere 4: art28, DOI 10.1890/ES12-00361.1Student paper

Poulter, B., N. Pederson, H. Liu, Z. Zhu, R. D’Arrigo, P. Ciais, N. Davi, D. Frank, C. Leland, R. Myneni, S. Piao, and T Wang. 2013. Recent trends in Inner Asian forest dynamics to temperature and precipitation indicate high sensitivity to climate change. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 178-179: 31-45.

Devineni, N., U. Lall, N. Pederson, and E.R. Cook. 2013. Delaware River Streamflow Reconstruction using Tree Rings: Exploration of Hierarchical Bayesian Regression. Journal of Climate 26: 4357–4374.

Davi, N., N. Pederson, C. Leland, B. Nachin, B. Suran, and G. Jacoby. 2013. Is eastern Mongolia drying? A long-term perspective of a multi-decadal trend. Water Research Resources 49: 151-158. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive.

Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston and K.J. Vranes. 2013. Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region? Journal of Climate 26: 1339-1354. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive, Media: Climate Central coverage, Popular Mechanics, Washington Post.

Hessl, A. and N. Pederson. 2013. Hemlock Legacy Project (HeLP): a paleoecological requiem for eastern hemlock. Progress in Physical Geography 36: 1-16. Media: Science Magazine’s Science Now.

Li, Z., G. Liu, B. Fu, Q. Zhang, K. Ma, and N. Pederson. 2013. The growth-ring variations of alpine shrub Rhododendron przewalskii reflect regional climate signals in the alpine environment of Miyaluo Town in Western Sichuan Province, China. Acta Ecologica Sinica 33: 23-31.

Pederson, N., C. Leland, B. Nachin, A. Hessl, A.R. Bell, D. Martin-Benito, T. Saladyga, B. Suran, P.M. Brown, and N.K. Davi. 2013. Three Centuries of Shifting Hydroclimatic Regimes Across the Mongolian Breadbasket. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 178-179: 10-20. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive.


Pederson, N., K. Tackett, R. W. McEwan, S. Clark, A. Cooper, G. Brosi, R. Eaton, and R. D. Stockwell. 2012. Long-term drought sensitivity of trees in second-growth forests in a humid region. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 42: 1837-1850.

Esper, J., M. Nenz, and N. Pederson. 2012. Influence of wood harvest on tree-ring time-series of Picea abies in a temperate forest. Forest Ecology and Management 284: 86-92. [Direct link to pdf].

Seager, R., N. Pederson, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, and S. Jurburg. 2012. The 1960s drought and the subsequent shift to a wetter climate in the Catskill Mountains region of the New York City watershed. Journal of Climate 21: 6721-6742.

Sun, G., S. McLaughlin, J. Porter, J. Uddling, P.J. Mulholland, M.B. Adams, and N. Pederson. 2012. Interactive Influences of Ozone and Climate on Streamflow of Forested Watersheds. Global Change Biology 18: 3395-3409.

Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, T.A. Knight, C. Leland,  N. Malcomb, K.J. Anchukaitis, K. Tackett, J. Scheff, A. Brice, B. Catron, W. Blozan, and J. Riddle. 2012. Long-term perspective on a modern drought in the American Southeast. Environmental Research Letters 7, 014034. Data: NOAA/WDC Paleo archive. Media Env. Res. WebScientific AmericanAthens Banner-Herald.

Hessl, A.E., P. Brown, U. Ariya, O. Byambasuren, T. Green, G. Jacoby, E.  Sutherland, B. Nachin, R. Maxwell, N. Pederson, L. De Grandpré, T. Saladyga, and J. C. Tardif. 2012. Reconstructing fire history  in central Mongolia from tree-rings. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 21: 86-92.


De Grandpré, L., J.C. Tardif, A. Hessl, N. Pederson, F. Conciatori, T.R. Green, O. Byambasuren and B. Nachin. 2011. Seasonal shift in the climate responses of Pinus sibirica, Pinus sylvestris, and Larix sibirica trees from semi-arid, north-central Mongolia. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 41: 1242-1255.

*Maxwell, R. Stockton, Edward R. Cook, Neil Pederson, and Amy E. Hessl. 2011. A multi-species tree-ring reconstruction of Potomac River streamflow (950-2001). Water Resources Research  47: W05512.

Cook, E.R. and N. Pederson. 2011. Uncertainty, emergence, and statistics in dendrochronology. In M.K. Hughes, T.W. Swetnam, and H.F. Diaz (eds). Dendroclimatology: Progress and Prospects, Developments in Paleoecological Research 11: 77-112.

McEwan, R. W., J.M. Dyer and N. Pederson. 2011. Multiple interacting ecosystem drivers: toward an encompassing hypothesis of oak forest dynamics across eastern North America. Ecography 34: 244-256.


N. Pederson. 2010. External characteristics of old trees in the Eastern Deciduous Forest. Natural Areas Journal 30: 396-407.


*Bhuta, A.R., L.M. Kennedy and N. Pederson. 2009. Climate-radial growth relationships of northern latitudinal range margin Longleaf pine (Pinus palustris P. Mill) in the Atlantic Coastal Plain of southeastern Virginia. Tree ring Research 65: 105-115.


Black, B.A., J.J. Colbert and N. Pederson. 2008. Relationships between radial growth rates and lifespan within diverse tree species. Ecoscience 15(3): 349-357. Open Access featured paper.

Pederson, N., J.M. Varner, and B.J. Palik. 2008. Canopy disturbance and tree recruitment over two centuries in a managed longleaf pine landscape. Forest Ecology and Management. 254: 85-95. USFS Open Access.


Pederson, N., A.W. D’Amato and D.A. Orwig. 2007. Central hardwood natural history from dendrochronology: maximum ages of rarely studied species. Proceedings of the 15th Central Hardwood Conference. University of Tennessee. Knoxville, TN. February 27-March 1, 2006. USDA Forest Service Southern Research Station. e-General Technical Report SRS-101. Harvard Forest Open Access.


** Hopton, H.M. and N. Pederson. 2005. Climate sensitivity of Atlantic white-cedar at its northern range limit. Atlantic White Cedar: Ecology, Restoration and Management, Proceedings of the Arlington Echo Symposium. June 2-4 2003. Millersville, MD. USDA For. Ser. Gen. Tech. Rep. USFS Open Access.


Pederson, N., E.R. Cook, G.C. Jacoby, D.M. Peteet, and K.L. Griffin. 2004. The influence of winter temperatures on the annual radial growth of six northern-range-margin tree species. Dendrochronologia 22: 7-29. LDEO Open Access.


Jacoby, G., N. Pederson and R. D’Arrigo. 2003. Temperature and precipitation in Mongolia based on dendroclimatic investigations. Chinese Science Bulletin 48: 1474-1479.


Pederson, N., G.C. Jacoby, R. D’Arrigo, B. Buckley, C. Dugarjav, and R. Mijiddorj. 2001. Hydrometeorological Reconstructions for Northeastern Mongolia Derived from Tree Rings: AD 1651-1995. Journal of Climate 14: 872-881.

D’Arrigo, R., G. Jacoby, D. Frank and N. Pederson. 2001. Spatial response to major volcanic events on or about AD 536, 934 and 1258: frost rings and other dendrochronological evidence form Mongolia. Climatic Change 49: 239-246.

D’Arrigo, R., G. Jacoby, D. Frank, N. Pederson, B. Buckley, B. Nachin, R. Mijiddorj and C. Dugarjav. 2001. 1738 years of Mongolian temperature variability inferred from a tree-ring width chronology of Siberian pine. Geophysical Research Letters 28: 543-546.


D’Arrigo, R., G. Jacoby, N. Pederson, D. Frank, B. Buckley, B. Nachin, R. Mijiddorj and C. Dugarjav. 2000. Mongolian Tree Rings, Temperature Sensitivity and Reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere Temperature. The Holocene 10: 669-672.


Meldahl, R.S., N. Pederson, J.S. Kush, and J.M. Varner, III. 1999. Dendrochronological investigations of climate and competitive effects on longleaf pine growth. In R. Wimmer and R E Vetter (eds.) Tree Ring Analysis: Biological, Methodological and Environmental Aspects. CABI Publishing. Wallingford, UK. pp. 265-285.


Pederson, N., R.H. Jones, and R.R. Sharitz. 1997. Age structure of old-growth loblolly pine stands in a floodplain forest. Journey of the Torrey Botanical Society 124: 111-123.

Palik, B.J., R.J. Mitchell, G. Houseal, and N. Pederson. 1997. Competitive effects of overstory structure and seedling response in a longleaf pine woodland ecosystem. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 27: 1458-1464. Jones Ecological Research Center Open Access.


Palik, B.J. and N. Pederson. 1996. Overstory mortality and canopy disturbances in longleaf pine ecosystems. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 26(11): 2035-2047. USFS Open Access.

Selected Unrefereed Publications

Barclay, D.J., N. Pederson, and C.B. Griggs. 2014*. Preface: Tree-Ring Studies in New York State: Past and present [A Tree-Ring Research Special Issue]. Tree Ring Research 70: 61-64.

*Seim, A.M. S.D. Merry, N. Pederson and R.B. Atkinson. 2006. The effect of temperature on the growth of Atlantic white cedar in two mid-Atlantic national wildlife refuges. Hydrology and Management of Forested Wetlands Proceedings of the International Conference 8-12 April 2006.

Pederson, N., J.S. Kush, R.S. Meldahl, and W.D. Boyer. 2000. Longleaf pine cone crops and climate: a possible link. Proceedings of the Tenth Biennial Southern Silvicultural Research Conference, February 1999. USFS Open Access

Pederson, N., L. Neel, and J. Kush. 1997. Ecosystem management ideas for the longleaf pine ecosystem. First Annual Meeting of the Longleaf Pine Alliance. September 1996. Mobile, AL. Longleaf Pine Alliance Open Access

Pederson, N., E. Everham, and J.M. Sahm. 1991. Natural disturbance simulation for the Luquillo Experimental Forest. In: Concern Toward Our Environment. J. McCloud, (ed.) Proceedings of the Computer Simulation Society.

* = student led research

** = undergraduate led research