The Harvard Forest Tree-Ring PalEON Crüe
Dan Bishop – Research Assistant, Harvard Forest
Ben Poulter – Modeler, Montana State University
Apparently, this project is the World’s Most Urgent Science Project.
In September 2014, we ended planned fieldwork. Dan is elbows deep in cores, but this week we begin data analysis starting with earlywood-latewood analyses.
PalEON (the PaleoEcological Observatory Network) is an interdisciplinary team of paleoecologists, ecological statisticians, and ecosystem modelers. Our goal is to reconstruct forest composition, fire regime, and climate in forests across the northeastern US and Alaska over the past 2000 years and then use this to drive and validate terrestrial ecosystem models. We will develop a coherent spatiotemporal inference framework to quantify trends and extreme events in paleoecological and paleoclimatic time series. Variables such as forest composition, fire regime, and moisture balance will be inferred from corresponding paleoecological proxies, with rigorous estimates of uncertainty.
Bishop, D.A. and N. Pederson. 2015. Regional variation of transient precipitation and rainless day frequency across a subcontinental hydroclimate gradient. Journal of Extreme Events DOI 10.1142/S2345737615500074.
Tipton, J., M. Hooten, N. Pederson, M. Tingley, and D. Bishop. 2015. Reconstruction of late Holocene climate based on tree growth and mechanistic hierarchical models. Environmetrics DOI: 10.1002/env.2368.
Funded by the National Science Foundation